Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.829307 4.446595 5.099200 5.837396 6.646059 7.501950 8.473245
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.878462 3.721013 4.674393 5.819682 7.144840 8.617222 10.363983
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.370835 3.376441 4.583985 6.108810 7.951143 10.075066 12.678003
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.891408 2.970514 4.344022 6.161192 8.443703 11.160625 14.582747
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.631104 2.791799 4.344519 6.478695 9.242980 12.615259 16.951063
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.403777 2.613993 4.311668 6.728342 9.945455 13.955140 19.201906
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.179668 2.398999 4.194102 6.838890 10.452923 15.048366 21.159521
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.953189 2.137405 3.973916 6.778025 10.712228 15.814767 22.707776
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.813610 1.991408 3.902584 6.909505 11.220424 16.901196 24.671525
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.694127 1.856918 3.830005 7.024568 11.697954 17.947120 26.592208
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.547445 1.639815 3.598322 6.879188 11.792755 18.473783 27.835082
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.427471 1.446144 3.379817 6.731082 11.865916 18.960185 29.021001
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.339508 1.301143 3.232173 6.688514 12.097398 19.679736 30.549932
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.262560 1.158187 3.069367 6.606786 12.262539 20.306970 31.963847
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.234663 1.133808 3.126628 6.890619 12.985595 21.728771 34.477154
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.189105 1.044656 3.045624 6.931984 13.334417 22.623880 36.281219
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.173130 1.039895 3.133918 7.268224 14.147269 24.193570 39.033179
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.153754 1.017659 3.182416 7.534339 14.854460 25.620589 41.604080
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.127547 0.961035 3.150088 7.651843 15.326337 26.711757 43.719195
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.096023 0.866980 3.022079 7.585108 15.497012 27.362132 45.222109
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.079531 0.825586 3.008397 7.726665 16.005009 28.512591 47.438532
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.064941 0.783635 2.987384 7.850671 16.483734 29.622953 49.606465
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.044199 0.690320 2.826182 7.693568 16.489054 30.023807 50.766909